Match

Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 29Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema

PergoletteseOspitaletto

The Footlab AI model makes Pergolettese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Ospitaletto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pergolettese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Pergolettese (1,728) and Ospitaletto (1,779).

43%29%28%
Pergolettese winDrawOspitaletto win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pergolettese

4-3-3
  1. 10D. Ferrandino
  2. 49E. Zaia
  3. 7A. Pala
  1. 20M. Tremolada
  2. 70J. Antollini
  3. 4M. Arini
  1. 5T. Silvestri
  2. 73E. Bassi
  3. 76L. Roversi
  4. 15C. Dell'Orco
  1. 22F. Doldi

Ospitaletto

4-3-3
  1. 14F. Galuppini
  2. 9F. Gobbi
  3. 77D. Stefanoni
  1. 16M. Gualandris
  2. 8Edoardo Tigani
  3. 7C. Messaggi
  1. 4R. Nessi
  2. 20M. Casali
  3. 3M. Possenti
  4. 15P. Parmiggiani
  1. 22A. Yazıcı

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 05:33 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pergolettese have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ospitaletto have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pergolettese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Renate(home)2-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 30, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2026Lumezzane(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 18, 2026Ospitaletto(away)3-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Ospitaletto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Desenzano Calvina(away)1-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 31, 2026Trento(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2026PRO Vercelli(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 18, 2026Pergolettese(home)2-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2026Treviso(away)1-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Pergolettese wins, 0 draws, 0 Ospitaletto wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Ospitaletto 2-3 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Jan 25, 2026Pergolettese 1-0 OspitalettoSerie C - Girone A
Sep 12, 2025Ospitaletto 1-2 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ospitaletto score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pergolettese1.01.167/156/15
Ospitaletto1.51.068/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pergolettese sit 10th in Serie C - Girone A (17 points from 13 matches) and Ospitaletto sit 4th (22 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Ospitaletto13643191122
10Pergolettese13454141517

A question about Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto?
The Footlab AI model makes Pergolettese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Ospitaletto.
Where and when is Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto played?
Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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