Match

Lumezzane vs Pergolettese: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 30Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Lumezzane

LumezzanePergolettese

The Footlab AI model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lumezzane wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lumezzane vs Pergolettese?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Lumezzane (1,776) and Pergolettese (1,750).

39%30%31%
Lumezzane winDrawPergolettese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lumezzane vs Pergolettese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lumezzane

4-3-3
  1. 32G. Anatriello
  2. 9T. Ebone
  3. 77S. Diodato
  1. 19M. Rolando
  2. 17Sasha Mancini
  3. 8M. Rocca
  1. 30A. Boffelli
  2. 90S. Nwachukwu
  3. 21J. Deratti
  4. 15M. Ndiaye
  1. 13L. Andrenacci

Pergolettese

4-3-3
  1. 10D. Ferrandino
  2. 49E. Zaia
  3. 7A. Pala
  1. 20M. Tremolada
  2. 4M. Arini
  3. 30A. Berretta
  1. 5T. Silvestri
  2. 76L. Roversi
  3. 15C. Dell'Orco
  4. 73E. Bassi
  1. 22F. Doldi

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:17 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lumezzane have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Pergolettese have 4, 9 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lumezzane
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Athletic Carpi(away)1-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 13, 2026Juventus U23(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Albinoleffe(home)3-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Inter(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 26, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Pergolettese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Ospitaletto(away)3-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Trento(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Lecco(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lumezzane wins, 0 draws, 3 Pergolettese wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 10, 2026Pergolettese 0-2 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A
Aug 31, 2025Lumezzane 2-3 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Mar 13, 2025Pergolettese 1-0 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A
Oct 29, 2024Lumezzane 0-2 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Jan 14, 2024Pergolettese 0-1 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A
Sep 10, 2023Lumezzane 1-0 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Pergolettese vs Lumezzane on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lumezzane score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pergolettese score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lumezzane0.91.357/157/15
Pergolettese0.90.785/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lumezzane sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (12 points from 10 matches) and Pergolettese sit 8th (14 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Pergolettese103528814
12Lumezzane10334111412

A question about Lumezzane vs Pergolettese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lumezzane vs Pergolettese?
The Footlab AI model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Pergolettese.
Where and when is Lumezzane vs Pergolettese played?
Lumezzane vs Pergolettese is played on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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