Novara vs Albinoleffe: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 29Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara
The Footlab model makes Novara the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Albinoleffe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novara vs Albinoleffe?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Novara (1,757) and Albinoleffe (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Albinoleffe have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Novara win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Albinoleffe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Novara 2-2 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Albinoleffe 3-2 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Albinoleffe 1-1 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Novara 2-0 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Albinoleffe 0-0 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Novara 0-3 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Novara vs Albinoleffe on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Albinoleffe score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Albinoleffe | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novara sit 18th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Albinoleffe sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Albinoleffe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | Novara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novara vs Albinoleffe?
- The Footlab model makes Novara the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Albinoleffe.
- Where and when is Novara vs Albinoleffe played?
- Novara vs Albinoleffe is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.