Pergolettese vs Trento: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Trento?
Trento starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pergolettese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Trento have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Modena(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pergolettese win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Trento win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Pergolettese 1-2 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Trento 0-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Trento 1-1 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Pergolettese 0-0 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Trento 1-3 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Pergolettese 2-0 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Pergolettese vs Trento on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trento score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pergolettese | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Trento | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pergolettese sit 20th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Trento sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trento | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 20 | Pergolettese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pergolettese vs Trento?
- The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Pergolettese.
- Where and when is Pergolettese vs Trento played?
- Pergolettese vs Trento is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.