Cittadella vs Lecco: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
The Footlab model makes Cittadella the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lecco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cittadella vs Lecco?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Cittadella (1,804) and Lecco (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Lecco have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luparense(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Padova(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Catania(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Cittadella win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lecco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Cittadella 2-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lecco 0-1 Cittadella | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Lecco 1-1 Cittadella | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Cittadella 2-1 Lecco | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Cittadella score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lecco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cittadella sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Lecco sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cittadella | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Lecco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cittadella vs Lecco?
- The Footlab model makes Cittadella the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lecco.
- Where and when is Cittadella vs Lecco played?
- Cittadella vs Lecco is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.