Renate vs Treviso: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mino Favini, Meda
The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Treviso. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renate vs Treviso?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Renate (1,835) and Treviso (1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renate have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Treviso have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trento(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 10, 2026 | Vado(home) | 3-3 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 3, 2026 | Mestre(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Treviso score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renate | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Treviso | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renate sit 14th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Treviso sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Treviso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renate vs Treviso?
- The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Treviso.
- Where and when is Renate vs Treviso played?
- Renate vs Treviso is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.