Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
The Footlab model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Dolomiti Bellunesi. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Brescia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Dolomiti Bellunesi have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Trento(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Union Brescia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union Brescia 2-0 Dolomiti Bellunesi | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-1 Union Brescia | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Union Brescia 2-1 Dolomiti Bellunesi | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Brescia score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dolomiti Bellunesi score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Brescia | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
- The Footlab model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Dolomiti Bellunesi.
- Where and when is Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi played?
- Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.