Bali United vs Garudayaksa: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Gianyar
The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Garudayaksa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bali United vs Garudayaksa?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Bali United (1,775) and Garudayaksa (1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bali United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Garudayaksa have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | PSS Sleman(away) | 2-2 | Liga 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Persikad Depok FC(home) | 3-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sriwijaya FC(away) | 3-0 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Persiraja Banda Aceh(away) | 2-2 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 1-0 | Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Garudayaksa score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Garudayaksa | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bali United vs Garudayaksa?
- The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Garudayaksa.
- Where and when is Bali United vs Garudayaksa played?
- Bali United vs Garudayaksa is played on October 21, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 20, 2026AdhyaksavsMalut United
- Oct 20, 2026Bhayangkara FCvsPSIM Yogyakarta
- Oct 20, 2026Dewa UnitedvsPersijap
- Oct 21, 2026PersijavsArema FC
- Oct 22, 2026PSM MakassarvsPersebaya Surabaya
- Oct 22, 2026Persik KedirivsPSS Sleman
- Oct 22, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsPersib Bandung
- Nov 26, 2026Pusamania BorneovsPersita