Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Wibawa Mukti, Cikarang
The Footlab model makes Bhayangkara FC the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for PSIM Yogyakarta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Bhayangkara FC (1,758) and PSIM Yogyakarta (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bhayangkara FC have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; PSIM Yogyakarta have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(home) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 1-4 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | PSM Makassar(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 2-4 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persita(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Bhayangkara FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 PSIM Yogyakarta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC 2-1 PSIM Yogyakarta | Liga 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | PSIM Yogyakarta 1-0 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | PSIM Yogyakarta 2-1 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 2 |
| Dec 19, 2024 | PSIM Yogyakarta 1-2 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 2 |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Bhayangkara FC 0-1 PSIM Yogyakarta | Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bhayangkara FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PSIM Yogyakarta score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayangkara FC | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bhayangkara FC sit 5th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and PSIM Yogyakarta sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 53 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 44 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
- The Footlab model makes Bhayangkara FC the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for PSIM Yogyakarta.
- Where and when is Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta played?
- Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta is played on October 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Wibawa Mukti, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.