Persijap vs Arema FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Gelora Bumi Kartini, Jepara
The Footlab model makes Persijap the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persijap vs Arema FC?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Persijap (1,705) and Arema FC (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persijap have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Persita(away) | 3-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Persija(home) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Persijap win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arema FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Arema FC 1-0 Persijap | Liga 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Persijap 0-0 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Persijap score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persijap | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persijap sit 13th in Liga 1 (36 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
| 13 | Persijap | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 45 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persijap vs Arema FC?
- The Footlab model makes Persijap the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arema FC.
- Where and when is Persijap vs Arema FC played?
- Persijap vs Arema FC is played on December 5, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora Bumi Kartini, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Bali UnitedvsPSM Makassar
- Dec 4, 2026Persik KedirivsAdhyaksa
- Dec 4, 2026Bhayangkara FCvsPersija
- Dec 4, 2026Dewa UnitedvsPersepam Madura Utd
- Dec 5, 2026Malut UnitedvsPSIM Yogyakarta
- Dec 5, 2026GarudayaksavsPusamania Borneo
- Dec 6, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsPersib Bandung
- Dec 6, 2026PSS SlemanvsPersita