Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo, Surabaya
The Footlab model makes Persib Bandung the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Persebaya Surabaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
Persib Bandung starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persebaya Surabaya have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Persib Bandung have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persija(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(home) | 1-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persija(home) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Persebaya Surabaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Persib Bandung win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persib Bandung 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya | Piala Presiden |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya 2-2 Persib Bandung | Liga 1 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Persib Bandung 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Persebaya Surabaya 4-1 Persib Bandung | Liga 1 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Persib Bandung 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Persib Bandung 3-1 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya on Aug 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persebaya Surabaya score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Persib Bandung score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persebaya Surabaya | 2.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Persib Bandung | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th in Liga 1 (58 points from 34 matches) and Persib Bandung sit 1st (79 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 79 |
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 35 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
- The Footlab model makes Persib Bandung the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Persebaya Surabaya.
- Where and when is Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung played?
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung is played on December 6, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.