Dewa United vs Persepam Madura Utd: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Persepam Madura Utd. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dewa United vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Dewa United starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dewa United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Persepam Madura Utd have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persis Solo(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 5-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Semen Padang(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSM Makassar(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dewa United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Persepam Madura Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd 1-2 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Dewa United 0-2 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Persepam Madura Utd 3-1 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Dewa United 3-3 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Dewa United 2-2 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Persepam Madura Utd 1-4 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persepam Madura Utd vs Dewa United on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dewa United score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Persepam Madura Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewa United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Persepam Madura Utd | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dewa United sit 7th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Persepam Madura Utd sit 14th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 53 |
| 14 | Persepam Madura Utd | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 54 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dewa United vs Persepam Madura Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Persepam Madura Utd.
- Where and when is Dewa United vs Persepam Madura Utd played?
- Dewa United vs Persepam Madura Utd is played on December 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.