Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:45 AM (UTC)HBF Park, Perth
The Footlab model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Perth Glory. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Perth Glory (1,717) and Western Sydney Wanderers (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perth Glory have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Western Sydney Wanderers have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Macarthur(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 4-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Cooma Tigers FC(away) | 2-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Perth Glory win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Western Sydney Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Perth Glory score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perth Glory sit 10th in A-League (31 points from 26 matches) and Western Sydney Wanderers sit 12th (21 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 43 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Perth Glory.
- Where and when is Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers played?
- Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:45 AM (UTC) at HBF Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.