Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 09:40 AM (UTC)Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Adelaide United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar?
Adelaide United starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,794 vs 1,677).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Adelaide United
4-2-3-1- 35Brody Burkitt
- 55E. Alagich
- 10Juan Muñiz
- 11C. Goodwin
- 58H. Crawford
- 87Anselmo
- 4P. Kikianis
- 52S. Phillis
- 7R. Kitto
- 62F. Talladira
- 22J. Smits
Brisbane Roar
3-5-2- 17J. Vidic
- 9V. Postolachi
- 6N. Maieroni
- 19S. Ngor
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 13T. Russell
- 8T. Francois
- 77M. Stajic
- 16J. King
- 5T. Aldred
- 40George Plusnin
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 11:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adelaide United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Brisbane Roar have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Home United(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Perth Glory(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Adelaide United wins, 3 draws, 1 Brisbane Roar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 2-3 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Adelaide United 0-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Adelaide United 1-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 2-3 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Adelaide United 1-1 Brisbane Roar | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Adelaide United score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adelaide United sit 11th in A-League (0 points from 1 match) and Brisbane Roar sit 5th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar played?
- Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar is played on April 24, 2027 at 09:40 AM (UTC) at Coopers Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.