Peterhead vs Montrose: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balmoor Stadium, Peterhead
The Footlab model makes Peterhead the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Montrose. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterhead vs Montrose?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Peterhead (1,612) and Montrose (1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterhead have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Montrose have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 5-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-5 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Peterhead win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Montrose win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Peterhead 1-1 Montrose | League One |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Montrose 1-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Peterhead 1-1 Montrose | League One |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Montrose 2-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Peterhead 2-3 Montrose | FA Cup |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Montrose 2-1 Peterhead | League One |
Last archived meeting: Peterhead vs Montrose on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Peterhead score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterhead | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Montrose | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peterhead sit 5th in League One (6 points from 4 matches) and Montrose sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Montrose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterhead vs Montrose?
- The Footlab model makes Peterhead the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Montrose.
- Where and when is Peterhead vs Montrose played?
- Peterhead vs Montrose is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balmoor Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.