Match

Pfaffenhofen vs Schwabmünchen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 8Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

PfaffenhofenSchwabmünchen

The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Schwabmünchen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pfaffenhofen vs Schwabmünchen?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Pfaffenhofen (1,778) and Schwabmünchen (1,690).

Pfaffenhofen win65 %
Draw19 %
Schwabmünchen win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pfaffenhofen have 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Schwabmünchen have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pfaffenhofen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026TuS Geretsried(away)3-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Pipinsried(away)0-5Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 20261860 München II(home)3-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026Kottern(away)4-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 25, 20261860 Rosenheim(home)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Schwabmünchen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Schalding-Heining(home)8-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026TuS Geretsried(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Heimstetten(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026Pipinsried(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd

How many goals should we expect?

Pfaffenhofen score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 6; Schwabmünchen score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pfaffenhofen2.01.723/64/6
Schwabmünchen1.32.328/1511/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pfaffenhofen vs Schwabmünchen?
The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Schwabmünchen.
Where and when is Pfaffenhofen vs Schwabmünchen played?
Pfaffenhofen vs Schwabmünchen is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pfaffenhofen and Schwabmünchen

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