Pfaffenhofen vs Schwabmünchen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 8Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Schwabmünchen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pfaffenhofen vs Schwabmünchen?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Pfaffenhofen (1,778) and Schwabmünchen (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pfaffenhofen have 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Schwabmünchen have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 8-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heimstetten(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Pfaffenhofen score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 6; Schwabmünchen score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pfaffenhofen | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 3/6 | 4/6 |
| Schwabmünchen | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pfaffenhofen vs Schwabmünchen?
- The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Schwabmünchen.
- Where and when is Pfaffenhofen vs Schwabmünchen played?
- Pfaffenhofen vs Schwabmünchen is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Schalding-HeiningvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Aug 28, 2026Hankofen-HailingvsTuS Geretsried
- Aug 28, 2026LandshutvsHeimstetten
- Aug 28, 20261880 Wasserburgvs1860 München II
- Aug 28, 2026ErlbachvsIsmaning
- Aug 29, 2026DeisenhofenvsPipinsried
- Aug 29, 2026Kirchanschöringvs1860 Rosenheim
- Aug 29, 2026GundelfingenvsKottern