Match

Schalding-Heining vs Sportfreunde Schwaig: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 8Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Reuthinger Weg, Passau

Schalding-HeiningSportfreunde Schwaig

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Schalding-Heining. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Schalding-Heining vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?

Sportfreunde Schwaig starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,618).

Schalding-Heining win26 %
Draw24 %
Sportfreunde Schwaig win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schalding-Heining have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Schalding-Heining
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Schwabmünchen(away)1-8Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026TuS Geretsried(home)1-5Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Heimstetten(away)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026Pipinsried(home)1-4Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 20261860 München II(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sportfreunde Schwaig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Erlbach(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Schwabmünchen(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Kirchanschöring(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026TuS Geretsried(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Gundelfingen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Schalding-Heining win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2026Schalding-Heining 1-1 Sportfreunde SchwaigOberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 14, 2025Sportfreunde Schwaig 4-2 Schalding-HeiningOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Schalding-Heining vs Sportfreunde Schwaig on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Schalding-Heining score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Schalding-Heining1.22.529/1510/15
Sportfreunde Schwaig1.81.159/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Schalding-Heining sit 13th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (38 points from 32 matches) and Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th (46 points from 33 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Sportfreunde Schwaig33121011494546
13Schalding-Heining3291112435038

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Schalding-Heining vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Schalding-Heining.
Where and when is Schalding-Heining vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?
Schalding-Heining vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Reuthinger Weg, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Schalding-Heining and Sportfreunde Schwaig

Ready to know everything about football?