Where and when is Hankofen-Hailing vs TuS Geretsried played?

Hankofen-Hailing vs TuS Geretsried is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Maierhofer Bau - Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hankofen-Hailing vs TuS Geretsried: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 8Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Maierhofer Bau - Stadion, Leiblfing

Hankofen-Hailing

TuS Geretsried

The Footlab model makes Hankofen-Hailing the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hankofen-Hailing vs TuS Geretsried?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Hankofen-Hailing (1,736) and TuS Geretsried (1,743).

Hankofen-Hailing win46 %

Draw24 %

TuS Geretsried win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hankofen-Hailing have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; TuS Geretsried have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hankofen-Hailing
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Heimstetten(away)	4-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Pipinsried(home)	3-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	1860 München II(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	Kottern(home)	2-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	1860 Rosenheim(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

TuS Geretsried
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pfaffenhofen(home)	2-3	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Schalding-Heining(away)	5-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026	Schwabmünchen(home)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)	2-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Heimstetten(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

How many goals should we expect?

Hankofen-Hailing score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hankofen-Hailing	1.5	1.5	4	7/15	9/15
TuS Geretsried	2.0	1.6	2	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	TuS Geretsried	34	12	9	13	50	50	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hankofen-Hailing vs TuS Geretsried?: The Footlab model makes Hankofen-Hailing the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for TuS Geretsried.
Where and when is Hankofen-Hailing vs TuS Geretsried played?: Hankofen-Hailing vs TuS Geretsried is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Maierhofer Bau - Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.