Where and when is Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven played?

Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington, Phoenix, Arizona

Phoenix Rising

Indy Eleven

The Footlab model makes Phoenix Rising the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Indy Eleven. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Phoenix Rising (1,716) and Indy Eleven (1,738).

Phoenix Rising win46 %

Draw28 %

Indy Eleven win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phoenix Rising have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Indy Eleven have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phoenix Rising
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	2-2	USL Championship
Aug 20, 2026	Colorado Springs(home)	3-1	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Lexington(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(away)	1-1	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	0-0	USL Championship

Indy Eleven
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Louisville City(home)	2-1	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Sporting JAX(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	1-1	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	San Antonio(away)	1-3	USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026	Loudoun United(home)	0-1	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Phoenix Rising win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Indy Eleven win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 25, 2024	Indy Eleven 2-1 Phoenix Rising	USL Championship
Sep 21, 2023	Phoenix Rising 1-1 Indy Eleven	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Indy Eleven vs Phoenix Rising on May 25, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Phoenix Rising score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Indy Eleven score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Phoenix Rising	1.3	1.8	2	9/15	9/15
Indy Eleven	1.1	1.0	5	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phoenix Rising sit 5th in USL Championship (17 points from 13 matches) and Indy Eleven sit 6th (18 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Phoenix Rising	13	4	5	4	16	15	17
6	Indy Eleven	11	5	3	3	16	12	18
6	Indy Eleven	19	8	4	7	23	22	28
11	Phoenix Rising	21	6	8	7	29	29	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?: The Footlab model makes Phoenix Rising the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Indy Eleven.
Where and when is Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven played?: Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.