Phönix L. II vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Phönix L. II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix L. II vs VfB Lübeck?
VfB Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,902 vs 1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix L. II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Phönix L. II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 VfB Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfB Lübeck 3-1 Phönix L. II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs Phönix L. II on Aug 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix L. II score 2.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix L. II | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix L. II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix L. II vs VfB Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Phönix L. II.
- Where and when is Phönix L. II vs VfB Lübeck played?
- Phönix L. II vs VfB Lübeck is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.