Phönix Lübeck vs Atlas Delmenhorst: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Atlas Delmenhorst. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Atlas Delmenhorst?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Phönix Lübeck (1,955) and Atlas Delmenhorst (1,937).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atlas Delmenhorst have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | HSC Hannover(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Bersenbrück(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Atlas Delmenhorst win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | Atlas Delmenhorst 1-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Phönix Lübeck 0-2 Atlas Delmenhorst | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Atlas Delmenhorst vs Phönix Lübeck on Dec 10, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlas Delmenhorst score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlas Delmenhorst | 2.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Atlas Delmenhorst sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Atlas Delmenhorst?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Atlas Delmenhorst.
- Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Atlas Delmenhorst played?
- Phönix Lübeck vs Atlas Delmenhorst is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsKickers Emden
- Oct 24, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsTodesfelde
- Oct 24, 2026Bremer SVvsHamburger SV II
- Oct 24, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Oct 24, 2026St. Pauli IIvsWeiche Flensburg
- Oct 24, 2026VfB OldenburgvsHSC Hannover
- Oct 24, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Oct 24, 2026SchöningenvsVfB Lübeck