Schöningen vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Elm-Stadion, Schöningen
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Schöningen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schöningen vs VfB Lübeck?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Schöningen (1,825) and VfB Lübeck (1,905).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schöningen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Wolfenbuttel(away) | 6-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Schöningen win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 VfB Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Schöningen 0-4 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Schöningen 2-3 VfB Lübeck | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2025 | VfB Lübeck 4-1 Schöningen | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Schöningen vs VfB Lübeck on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schöningen score 1.8 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schöningen | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schöningen sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 4 matches) and VfB Lübeck sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Schöningen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schöningen vs VfB Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Schöningen.
- Where and when is Schöningen vs VfB Lübeck played?
- Schöningen vs VfB Lübeck is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Elm-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsKickers Emden
- Oct 24, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsTodesfelde
- Oct 24, 2026Bremer SVvsHamburger SV II
- Oct 24, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Oct 24, 2026St. Pauli IIvsWeiche Flensburg
- Oct 24, 2026VfB OldenburgvsHSC Hannover
- Oct 24, 2026Phönix LübeckvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Oct 24, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsSSV Jeddeloh