Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg played?

St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt

St. Pauli II

Weiche Flensburg

The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Weiche Flensburg starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,761).

St. Pauli II win20 %

Draw21 %

Weiche Flensburg win59 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Weiche Flensburg have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Pauli II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Werder Bremen II(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026	Todesfelde(away)	4-6	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Weiche Flensburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 19, 2026	Werder Bremen II(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 15, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(home)	5-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026	Eimsbütteler TV(home)	5-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 1, 2026	VfB Lübeck(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 St. Pauli II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Weiche Flensburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Weiche Flensburg 1-1 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 21, 2025	St. Pauli II 1-3 Weiche Flensburg	Regionalliga - Nord
May 3, 2025	Weiche Flensburg 0-1 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 20, 2024	St. Pauli II 2-2 Weiche Flensburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Mar 17, 2024	St. Pauli II 0-0 Weiche Flensburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 23, 2023	Weiche Flensburg 0-5 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
St. Pauli II	1.2	1.9	1	10/15	6/15
Weiche Flensburg	2.3	1.3	3	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Pauli II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nord (3 points from 4 matches) and Weiche Flensburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Weiche Flensburg	5	4	1	0	17	7	13
14	St. Pauli II	4	1	0	3	6	10	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?: The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg played?: St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.