Where and when is VfB Oldenburg vs VfB Lübeck played?

VfB Oldenburg vs VfB Lübeck is played on May 1, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Marschwegstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfB Oldenburg vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 32Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Marschwegstadion, Oldenburg

VfB Oldenburg

VfB Lübeck

The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for VfB Lübeck. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Oldenburg vs VfB Lübeck?

VfB Oldenburg starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,015 vs 1,902).

VfB Oldenburg win62 %

Draw20 %

VfB Lübeck win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Oldenburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Oldenburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 11, 2026	VfB Lübeck(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026	SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)	3-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026	Werder Bremen II(away)	3-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 25, 2026	Paderborn II(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs

VfB Lübeck
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	0-4	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 11, 2026	VfB Oldenburg(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026	Atlas Delmenhorst(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 4, 2026	Phönix L. II(home)	3-1	Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 1, 2026	Heider SV(away)	3-1	Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfB Oldenburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 VfB Lübeck win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	VfB Lübeck 1-1 VfB Oldenburg	Regionalliga - Nord
May 6, 2026	VfB Lübeck 3-1 VfB Oldenburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2025	VfB Oldenburg 4-0 VfB Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
May 9, 2025	VfB Oldenburg 0-2 VfB Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 26, 2024	VfB Lübeck 1-1 VfB Oldenburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 27, 2023	VfB Lübeck 2-0 VfB Oldenburg	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg on Aug 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfB Oldenburg	2.1	1.7	3	12/15	12/15
VfB Lübeck	1.3	1.3	2	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 4 matches) and VfB Lübeck sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	VfB Oldenburg	4	3	1	0	11	3	10
16	VfB Lübeck	4	0	2	2	2	8	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Oldenburg vs VfB Lübeck?: The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for VfB Lübeck.
Where and when is VfB Oldenburg vs VfB Lübeck played?: VfB Oldenburg vs VfB Lübeck is played on May 1, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Marschwegstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.