Match

St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 32Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt

St. Pauli IITodesfelde

The Footlab AI model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Todesfelde wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde?

Todesfelde starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,785).

30%22%48%
St. Pauli II winDrawTodesfelde win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

St. Pauli II

Not enough data to predict the St. Pauli II lineup.

Todesfelde

4-3-3
  1. 35J. Schneider
  2. 28N. Awuku
  3. 11M. Liebert
  1. 6Pawel Erfmann
  2. 31M. Boland
  3. 10M. Klüver
  1. 21M. Musci
  2. 5K. Schulz
  3. 13C. Rave
  4. 37J. Sternberg
  1. 1F. Landvoigt

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:12 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Todesfelde have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Pauli II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026HSC Hannover(home)3-4Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 26, 2026Kickers Emden(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 19, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)0-1Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 16, 2026Hamburger SV II(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 13, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(home)5-0Regionalliga - Nord
Todesfelde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Weiche Flensburg(home)0-4Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 3, 2026Kickers Emden(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 25, 2026VfB Lübeck(away)2-3Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 19, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 16, 2026Phönix Lübeck(away)0-9Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 St. Pauli II wins, 0 draws, 1 Todesfelde win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2026Todesfelde 6-4 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord
Mar 30, 2025St. Pauli II 4-0 TodesfeldeRegionalliga - Nord
Sep 28, 2024Todesfelde 2-4 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II on Aug 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Pauli II score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Todesfelde score 1.8 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
St. Pauli II1.82.129/159/15
Todesfelde1.82.929/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Pauli II sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 12 matches) and Todesfelde sit 15th (11 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Todesfelde13328214211
16St. Pauli II12318232510

A question about St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde?
The Footlab AI model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde played?
St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde is played on May 1, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: St. Pauli II and Todesfelde

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