Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Eintracht Norderstedt. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt?
Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Eintracht Norderstedt have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 6-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Eintracht Norderstedt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt 1-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Phönix Lübeck 0-2 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 6, 2025 | Eintracht Norderstedt 3-2 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 0-1 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 4-2 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Eintracht Norderstedt 0-2 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Eintracht Norderstedt vs Phönix Lübeck on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Norderstedt score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Eintracht Norderstedt | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Eintracht Norderstedt sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Eintracht Norderstedt.
- Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt played?
- Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Oct 10, 2026Bremer SVvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Oct 10, 2026SSV JeddelohvsVfB Lübeck
- Oct 10, 2026St. Pauli IIvsHSC Hannover
- Oct 10, 2026VfB OldenburgvsKickers Emden
- Oct 10, 2026TodesfeldevsWeiche Flensburg
- Oct 10, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsHannover 96 II
- Oct 10, 2026SchöningenvsHamburger SV II