Match

Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck

Phönix LübeckEintracht Norderstedt

The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Eintracht Norderstedt. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,784).

Phönix Lübeck win69 %
Draw18 %
Eintracht Norderstedt win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Eintracht Norderstedt have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phönix Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-4DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfB Lübeck(home)4-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Bremer SV(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nord
Eintracht Norderstedt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Weiche Flensburg(home)1-4Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 15, 2026VfB Oldenburg(away)1-4Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Kickers Emden(home)6-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026Schöningen(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026Atlas Delmenhorst(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Eintracht Norderstedt win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 1, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt 1-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2025Phönix Lübeck 0-2 Eintracht NorderstedtRegionalliga - Nord
May 6, 2025Eintracht Norderstedt 3-2 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 20, 2024Phönix Lübeck 0-1 Eintracht NorderstedtRegionalliga - Nord
Apr 20, 2024Phönix Lübeck 4-2 Eintracht NorderstedtRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 22, 2023Eintracht Norderstedt 0-2 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Eintracht Norderstedt vs Phönix Lübeck on Apr 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Norderstedt score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Phönix Lübeck1.81.559/159/15
Eintracht Norderstedt1.82.1014/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Eintracht Norderstedt sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Phönix Lübeck4211727
11Eintracht Norderstedt512211135

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt?
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Eintracht Norderstedt.
Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt played?
Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Phönix Lübeck and Eintracht Norderstedt

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