VfB Oldenburg vs Kickers Emden: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Marschwegstadion, Oldenburg
The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Kickers Emden. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Oldenburg vs Kickers Emden?
VfB Oldenburg starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,018 vs 1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Oldenburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kickers Emden have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 2-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HSC Hannover(away) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfB Oldenburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kickers Emden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kickers Emden 4-2 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 11, 2025 | VfB Oldenburg 2-1 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Feb 15, 2025 | VfB Oldenburg 1-2 Kickers Emden | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Kickers Emden 1-1 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2024 | VfB Oldenburg 0-3 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2020 | Kickers Emden 1-1 VfB Oldenburg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Kickers Emden vs VfB Oldenburg on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kickers Emden score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Oldenburg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Kickers Emden | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 4 matches) and Kickers Emden sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 13 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Oldenburg vs Kickers Emden?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Kickers Emden.
- Where and when is VfB Oldenburg vs Kickers Emden played?
- VfB Oldenburg vs Kickers Emden is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Marschwegstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 10, 2026SSV JeddelohvsVfB Lübeck
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