Where and when is Todesfelde vs Weiche Flensburg played?

Todesfelde vs Weiche Flensburg is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at JODA Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Todesfelde vs Weiche Flensburg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)JODA Sportpark, Todesfelde

Todesfelde

Weiche Flensburg

The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Weiche Flensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Todesfelde vs Weiche Flensburg?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Todesfelde (2,001) and Weiche Flensburg (1,952).

Todesfelde win49 %

Draw22 %

Weiche Flensburg win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Todesfelde have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Weiche Flensburg have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Todesfelde
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Schöningen(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	Hamburger SV II(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Werder Bremen II(home)	3-3	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026	St. Pauli II(home)	6-4	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 25, 2026	Hansa Rostock II(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Weiche Flensburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 19, 2026	Werder Bremen II(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 15, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(home)	5-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026	Eimsbütteler TV(home)	5-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 1, 2026	VfB Lübeck(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Todesfelde win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Weiche Flensburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2025	Todesfelde 1-3 Weiche Flensburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 12, 2024	Weiche Flensburg 5-0 Todesfelde	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Todesfelde vs Weiche Flensburg on Apr 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Todesfelde score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Todesfelde	2.5	1.2	9	5/15	9/15
Weiche Flensburg	2.3	1.3	3	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Todesfelde sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nord (5 points from 4 matches) and Weiche Flensburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Weiche Flensburg	5	4	1	0	17	7	13
10	Todesfelde	4	1	2	1	11	11	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Todesfelde vs Weiche Flensburg?: The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Weiche Flensburg.
Where and when is Todesfelde vs Weiche Flensburg played?: Todesfelde vs Weiche Flensburg is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at JODA Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.