Match

St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt

St. Pauli IIHSC Hannover

The Footlab model makes HSC Hannover the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate St. Pauli II (1,761) and HSC Hannover (1,823).

St. Pauli II win38 %
Draw23 %
HSC Hannover win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; HSC Hannover have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Pauli II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Werder Bremen II(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026Bremer SV(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026Todesfelde(away)4-6Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
HSC Hannover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Bremer SV(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Atlas Delmenhorst(home)3-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 1, 2026Kickers Emden(home)4-4Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 8, 2026Bersenbrück(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 St. Pauli II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 HSC Hannover win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2026St. Pauli II 3-2 HSC HannoverRegionalliga - Nord
Sep 27, 2025HSC Hannover 0-2 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord
Jul 17, 2021HSC Hannover 1-2 St. Pauli IIFriendlies Clubs
Oct 20, 2019St. Pauli II 6-0 HSC HannoverRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; HSC Hannover score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
St. Pauli II1.21.9110/156/15
HSC Hannover2.02.148/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Pauli II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nord (3 points from 4 matches) and HSC Hannover sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6HSC Hannover4211867
14St. Pauli II41036103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
The Footlab model makes HSC Hannover the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover played?
St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: St. Pauli II and HSC Hannover

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