St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt
The Footlab model makes HSC Hannover the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate St. Pauli II (1,761) and HSC Hannover (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; HSC Hannover have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Bersenbrück(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 St. Pauli II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 HSC Hannover win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | St. Pauli II 3-2 HSC Hannover | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 27, 2025 | HSC Hannover 0-2 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 17, 2021 | HSC Hannover 1-2 St. Pauli II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 20, 2019 | St. Pauli II 6-0 HSC Hannover | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; HSC Hannover score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| HSC Hannover | 2.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Pauli II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nord (3 points from 4 matches) and HSC Hannover sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | HSC Hannover | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | St. Pauli II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
- The Footlab model makes HSC Hannover the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover played?
- St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Oct 10, 2026Bremer SVvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Oct 10, 2026SSV JeddelohvsVfB Lübeck
- Oct 10, 2026VfB OldenburgvsKickers Emden
- Oct 10, 2026Phönix LübeckvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Oct 10, 2026TodesfeldevsWeiche Flensburg
- Oct 10, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsHannover 96 II
- Oct 10, 2026SchöningenvsHamburger SV II