Picos vs Flamengo PI: prediction and stats
Piauiense - 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Helvídio Nunes de Barros, Picos, Piauí
The Footlab model makes Picos the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Flamengo PI. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Picos vs Flamengo PI?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Picos (1,540) and Flamengo PI (1,514).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Picos have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Flamengo PI have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Corí-Sabbá(away) | 0-1 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Teresina Esporte Club(home) | 0-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Flamengo PI(away) | 0-3 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Caicara(home) | 2-2 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Comercial PI(home) | 2-2 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Teresina Esporte Club(home) | 0-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Teresina Esporte Club(away) | 2-3 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Comercial PI(away) | 1-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Caicara(away) | 0-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Picos(home) | 3-0 | Piauiense - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Picos win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Flamengo PI win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Flamengo PI 3-0 Picos | Piauiense - 2 |
| May 2, 2021 | Picos 0-1 Flamengo PI | Piauiense |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Flamengo PI 0-0 Picos | Piauiense |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Flamengo PI 1-2 Picos | Piauiense |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Picos 1-0 Flamengo PI | Piauiense |
How many goals should we expect?
Picos score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Flamengo PI score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Picos | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Flamengo PI | 0.6 | 2.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Picos vs Flamengo PI?
- The Footlab model makes Picos the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Flamengo PI.
- Where and when is Picos vs Flamengo PI played?
- Picos vs Flamengo PI is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Helvídio Nunes de Barros, in the Piauiense - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.