Karitsa vs Ermis Exochi: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 8Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Karίtsas, Karitsa
The Footlab AI model makes Karitsa the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Ermis Exochi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karitsa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karitsa vs Ermis Exochi?
On Elo ratings, Karitsa has 1,696 points and Ermis Exochi 1,607.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karitsa vs Ermis Exochi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karitsa
Not enough data to predict the Karitsa lineup.
Ermis Exochi
Not enough data to predict the Ermis Exochi lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karitsa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Ermis Exochi have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digenis Neochori(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sarakinos(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Aetos Makrychoriou(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2021 | Anagennisi Karditsas(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 26, 2021 | Elassona(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Karitsa score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ermis Exochi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karitsa | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ermis Exochi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karitsa sit 6th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (3 points from 1 match) and Ermis Exochi sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Karitsa vs Ermis Exochi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karitsa vs Ermis Exochi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karitsa the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Ermis Exochi.
- Where and when is Karitsa vs Ermis Exochi played?
- Karitsa vs Ermis Exochi is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Karίtsas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.