Ermis Exochi vs Pierikos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ermis Exochi the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Pierikos. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ermis Exochi vs Pierikos?
On Elo ratings, Ermis Exochi has 1,626 points and Pierikos 1,594.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ermis Exochi vs Pierikos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ermis Exochi
Not enough data to predict the Ermis Exochi lineup.
Pierikos
4-3-3- 10K. Chartsias
- 33V. Papadopoulos
- 30A. Kanoulas
- 5G. Krimitzas
- 26A. Dinas
- 77A. Fokaidis
- 3A. Panteliadis
- 22T. Gialamidis
- 18C. Koukolis
- 2S. Topalidis
- 19G. Galanis
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ermis Exochi have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pierikos have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Digenis Neochori(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarakinos(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Veria(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ermis Exochi wins, 0 draws, 1 Pierikos win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ermis Exochi 1-0 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Ermis Exochi 3-1 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Pierikos 1-0 Ermis Exochi | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ermis Exochi vs Pierikos on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ermis Exochi score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pierikos score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ermis Exochi | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Pierikos | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ermis Exochi sit 3rd in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (4 points from 2 matches) and Pierikos sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Ermis Exochi vs Pierikos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ermis Exochi vs Pierikos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ermis Exochi the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Pierikos.
- Where and when is Ermis Exochi vs Pierikos played?
- Ermis Exochi vs Pierikos is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.