Pineto vs Ostia Mare: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, Pineto
The Footlab AI model makes Pineto the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Ostia Mare. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pineto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pineto vs Ostia Mare?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Pineto (1,675) and Ostia Mare (1,734).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pineto vs Ostia Mare
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pineto
3-4-2-1- 9G. Vigliotti
- 21L. Lombardi
- 8G. Germinario
- 99A. Pellegrino
- 15D. Ferrante
- 4G. Nebuloso
- 7G. Guadagni
- 52D. Frare
- 3Simone Ienco
- 13G. Alessandretti
- 22A. Tonti
Ostia Mare
4-3-3- 77F. Tosku
- 17F. D'Andrea
- 9R. Tonin
- 32F. Casolari
- 71F. Carbone
- 8D. Greco
- 13R. Brosco
- 4D. Piroli
- 5P. Giordani
- 27M. Vagnoni
- 1F. Vertua
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pineto have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ostia Mare have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pineto score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ostia Mare score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pineto | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ostia Mare | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pineto sit 17th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 8 matches) and Ostia Mare sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ostia Mare | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Pineto | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Pineto vs Ostia Mare?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pineto vs Ostia Mare?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pineto the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Ostia Mare.
- Where and when is Pineto vs Ostia Mare played?
- Pineto vs Ostia Mare is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.