Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Vado: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Guidonia Montecelio
The Footlab AI model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Vado. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,142 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Vado?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1,821) and Vado (1,866).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Vado
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
4-3-3- 30F. Ferrari
- 9E. Vertainen
- 73A. Falleni
- 4E. Celeghin
- 20P. Giannotti
- 23A. Murgia
- 2S. Esempio
- 26R. Baroni
- 33D. Borghini
- 11O. Viteritti
- 25G. Drago
Vado
4-3-3- 11D. Vita
- 31M. Ferro
- 95I. Cernigoi
- 28Z. Hamlili
- 27D. Hergheligiu
- 17Mirko Lazzarini
- 14F. Gulinelli
- 5Mirko Saltarelli
- 18L. Piana
- 29F. Saiani
- 22A. Bellocci
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 03:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Vado have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forli(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pineto(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Torres(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vado score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Vado | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 6th in Serie C - Girone B (16 points from 10 matches) and Vado sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Vado | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
A question about Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Vado?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Vado?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Vado.
- Where and when is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Vado played?
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Vado is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.