Latina vs Perugia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Francioni, Latina
The Footlab AI model makes Latina the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Perugia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Latina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Latina vs Perugia?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Latina (1,723) and Perugia (1,683).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Latina vs Perugia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Latina
3-5-2- 7J. Báez
- 70G. Tomaselli
- 4A. De Cristofaro
- 27Sonny D'Angelo
- 30R. De Ciancio
- 36J. Lipani
- 10A. Riccardi
- 2E. Ercolano
- 13F. Marenco
- 5M. Bruscagin
- 67D. Mastrantonio
Perugia
4-3-3- 9A. Sabbatani
- 90E. Vergani
- 10L. Canotto
- 8R. Ladinetti
- 33C. Langella
- 30P. van Amersfoort
- 4A. Tozzuolo
- 28D. Riccardi
- 11M. Borsoi
- 5F. Brekalo
- 1R. Żelezny
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Latina have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Perugia have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vado(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reggiana(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Latina wins, 3 draws, 1 Perugia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | Latina 1-1 Perugia | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Latina 1-4 Perugia | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2017 | Latina 2-2 Perugia | Serie B |
| Dec 24, 2016 | Perugia 1-1 Latina | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Latina score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latina | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Latina sit 13th in Serie C - Girone B (10 points from 9 matches) and Perugia sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Perugia | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Latina | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Latina vs Perugia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Latina vs Perugia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Latina the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Perugia.
- Where and when is Latina vs Perugia played?
- Latina vs Perugia is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Domenico Francioni, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.