Latina vs Perugia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Francioni, Latina
The Footlab model makes Latina the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Perugia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Latina vs Perugia?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Latina (1,782) and Perugia (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Latina have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Perugia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pineto(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 5-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Casertana(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Forli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Latina win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Perugia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | Latina 1-1 Perugia | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Latina 1-4 Perugia | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2017 | Latina 2-2 Perugia | Serie B |
| Dec 24, 2016 | Perugia 1-1 Latina | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Latina score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latina | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Latina sit 13th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Perugia sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Perugia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Latina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Latina vs Perugia?
- The Footlab model makes Latina the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Perugia.
- Where and when is Latina vs Perugia played?
- Latina vs Perugia is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Domenico Francioni, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.