Ludogorets II vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, Razgrad
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets II vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Ludogorets II (1,635) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ludogorets II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Ludogorets II 0-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| May 18, 2025 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Ludogorets II 0-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Ludogorets II 1-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-1 Ludogorets II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Ludogorets II on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets II sit 11th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 11 | Ludogorets II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets II vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
- Where and when is Ludogorets II vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo played?
- Ludogorets II vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026BeroevsYantra 2019
- Sep 26, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsSportist Svoge
- Sep 26, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsMarek
- Sep 26, 2026Hebar 1918vsDobrudzha
- Sep 26, 2026VihrenvsNesebar
- Sep 26, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsMontana
- Sep 26, 2026Rilski SportistvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Sep 26, 2026FratriavsSpartak Pleven