Pistoiese vs Oltrepò: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Melani, Pistoia
The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Oltrepò. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,223 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Oltrepò?
Pistoiese starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (1,941 vs 1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pistoiese vs Oltrepò
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pistoiese
Not enough data to predict the Pistoiese lineup.
Oltrepò
Not enough data to predict the Oltrepò lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 09:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pistoiese have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Oltrepò have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Crema(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pontedera(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Pistoiese score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Oltrepò score 0.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistoiese | 2.0 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Oltrepò | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pistoiese sit 1st in Serie D - Girone D (28 points from 11 matches) and Oltrepò sit 18th (5 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 28 |
| 18 | Oltrepò | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Pistoiese vs Oltrepò?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pistoiese vs Oltrepò?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Oltrepò.
- Where and when is Pistoiese vs Oltrepò played?
- Pistoiese vs Oltrepò is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Melani, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.