Pro Patria vs Lentigione: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio
The Footlab AI model makes Lentigione the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Pro Patria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lentigione wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Lentigione?
Lentigione starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,874 vs 1,705).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Patria vs Lentigione
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Patria
4-3-3- 10F. Mastroianni
- 25D. Ferri
- 70J. Desogus
- 17G. Tunjov
- 23J. Frosali
- 27L. Giudici
- 6A. Sassaro
- 39M. Motolese
- 20C. Mora
- 31G. Felicioli
- 28A. Sala
Lentigione
Not enough data to predict the Lentigione lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 11:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Patria have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Lentigione have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Crema(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Patria score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lentigione score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Patria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lentigione | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Patria sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone D (21 points from 11 matches) and Lentigione sit 2nd (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lentigione | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Pro Patria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
A question about Pro Patria vs Lentigione?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Patria vs Lentigione?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lentigione the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Pro Patria.
- Where and when is Pro Patria vs Lentigione played?
- Pro Patria vs Lentigione is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Speroni, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.