Platense vs Alianza: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 2Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle, Zacatecoluca
The Footlab model makes Alianza the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Platense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platense vs Alianza?
Alianza starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platense have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Alianza have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FAS(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CD Marathon(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Platense win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Alianza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Alianza 3-3 Platense | Primera Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Platense 0-2 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Alianza 2-1 Platense | Primera Division |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Platense 1-1 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Alianza 1-0 Platense | Primera Division |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Platense 1-0 Alianza | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Platense score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 1.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 2/15 |
| Alianza | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platense sit 6th in Primera Division (8 points from 5 matches) and Alianza sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Platense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platense vs Alianza?
- The Footlab model makes Alianza the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Platense.
- Where and when is Platense vs Alianza played?
- Platense vs Alianza is played on August 26, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.