Platense vs Municipal Limeño: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 14Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle, Zacatecoluca
The Footlab model makes Municipal Limeño the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Platense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platense vs Municipal Limeño?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Platense (1,563) and Municipal Limeño (1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platense have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Municipal Limeño have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FAS(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Platense win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Municipal Limeño win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Municipal Limeño 1-1 Platense | Primera Division |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Municipal Limeño 2-0 Platense | Primera Division |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Platense 1-2 Municipal Limeño | Copa Presidente |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Platense 0-1 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Municipal Limeño 1-0 Platense | Primera Division |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Platense 1-1 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Municipal Limeño vs Platense on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Platense score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Municipal Limeño score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 1.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 2/15 |
| Municipal Limeño | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platense sit 6th in Primera Division (8 points from 5 matches) and Municipal Limeño sit 7th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Platense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platense vs Municipal Limeño?
- The Footlab model makes Municipal Limeño the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Platense.
- Where and when is Platense vs Municipal Limeño played?
- Platense vs Municipal Limeño is played on October 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Toledo Valle, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.