Pļaviņas / DM vs Progress / AFA Olaine: result 3-5 and analysis
CupPlay-off RoundKick-off on June 21, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadions Gostiņi, Pļaviņas
Full time
What was the result of Pļaviņas / DM vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Progress / AFA Olaine won 3-5 on June 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′564970Progress / AFA Olaine
- 16′K. CernovsProgress / AFA Olaine
- 31′K. CernovsProgress / AFA Olaine
- 53′609330Pļaviņas / DM
- 61′609331Pļaviņas / DM
- 70′K. CernovsProgress / AFA Olaine
- 74′565101Progress / AFA Olaine
- 87′609394Pļaviņas / DM
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pļaviņas / DM have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Progress / AFA Olaine have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2025 | RFS akadēmija(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| May 17, 2025 | Namejs(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Ķekava / Auda(home) | 0-5 | Cup |
| May 17, 2024 | DSVK Traktors(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| May 27, 2023 | Limbaži(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Skanste(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Augšdaugava(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| May 31, 2025 | Augšdaugava(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| May 25, 2025 | Riga FC II(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Pļaviņas / DM score 0.9 and concede 4.6 goals per match over their last 15; Progress / AFA Olaine score 1.3 and concede 2.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pļaviņas / DM | 0.9 | 4.6 | 2 | 3/15 | 12/15 |
| Progress / AFA Olaine | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy