Riga Mariners vs Valmiera / BSS: result 4-3 and analysis
CupPlay-off RoundKick-off on June 22, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mežaparks Sports Village, Rīga (Riga)
Full time
What was the result of Riga Mariners vs Valmiera / BSS?
Riga Mariners won 4-3 on June 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′M. ErglisValmiera / BSS
- 51′A. GrazisRiga Mariners (pen.)
- 59′R. OwusuValmiera / BSS
- 88′A. GrazisRiga Mariners (pen.)
- 106′E. VisnakovsRiga Mariners
- 117′D. AdelekunRiga Mariners (o.g.)
- 120′Y. OmoriValmiera / BSS (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Riga Mariners have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Valmiera / BSS have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 5-2 | 1. Liga |
| May 30, 2025 | Upesciema Warriors(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| May 24, 2025 | Augšdaugava(away) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | Tukums II(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Ogre United(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2025 | Ogre United(home) | 4-3 | Cup |
| May 16, 2025 | Cēsis(home) | 6-0 | Cup |
| May 2, 2025 | Limbaži(home) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Laagri(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Riga Mariners score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 11; Valmiera / BSS score 2.6 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga Mariners | 2.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/11 | 8/11 |
| Valmiera / BSS | 2.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy