San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Palmas III wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,243 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III?
Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Las Palmas III
4-3-3- VVíctor José Socorro Quintana
- HHéctor David Castillo Martín
- AAbian Santos Vergara
- SSamu
- GGabriel Felipe Arrocha
- JJosé Ángel
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- BBrian
- UUssama Ahmed Ouzzani
- ÁÁlvaro Santana
- ÁÁlex González
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Las Palmas III have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 San Bartolomé wins, 1 draw, 1 Las Palmas III win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | San Bartolomé 2-2 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Las Palmas III 6-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Las Palmas III | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (10 points from 10 matches) and Las Palmas III sit 5th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Las Palmas III | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 13 | San Bartolomé | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 10 |
A question about San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III played?
- San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026MensajerovsLaguna de Duero
- Nov 22, 2026LanzarotevsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Nov 22, 2026Villa Santa BrígidavsPlayas Sotavento
- Nov 22, 2026EstrellavsPanadería Pulido
- Nov 22, 2026Tenerife CvsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Nov 22, 2026San MiguelvsLos Llanos
- Nov 22, 2026AnazavsMarino
- Nov 22, 2026Villaverde NortevsSan Fernando CD