San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III?
Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Las Palmas III have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lanzarote(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arucas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tenisca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 San Bartolomé win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Las Palmas III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | San Bartolomé 2-2 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Las Palmas III 6-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Las Palmas III | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (36 points from 34 matches) and Las Palmas III sit 6th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Las Palmas III | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 54 |
| 14 | San Bartolomé | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30 | 55 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III?
- The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III played?
- San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026MensajerovsLaguna de Duero
- Nov 22, 2026LanzarotevsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Nov 22, 2026Villa Santa BrígidavsPlayas Sotavento
- Nov 22, 2026EstrellavsPanadería Pulido
- Nov 22, 2026Tenerife CvsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Nov 22, 2026San MiguelvsLos Llanos
- Nov 22, 2026AnazavsMarino
- Nov 22, 2026Villaverde NortevsSan Fernando CD