Match

San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé

San BartoloméLas Palmas III

The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III?

Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,707).

San Bartolomé win29 %
Draw27 %
Las Palmas III win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Las Palmas III have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Bartolomé
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Tenerife C(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Lanzarote(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026UD San Fernando(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Arucas(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026San Miguel(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Atlético Paso(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Tenisca(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026Panadería Pulido(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Real Unión de Tenerife(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 San Bartolomé win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Las Palmas III win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026San Bartolomé 2-2 Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 4, 2025Las Palmas III 6-1 San BartoloméTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Bartolomé1.11.357/157/15
Las Palmas III1.31.148/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Bartolomé sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (36 points from 34 matches) and Las Palmas III sit 6th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Las Palmas III3415910584254
14San Bartolomé3481214305536

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III?
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for San Bartolomé.
Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III played?
San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: San Bartolomé and Las Palmas III

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