Match

Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Playas SotaventoLos Llanos

The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Los Llanos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos?

Playas Sotavento starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,634).

Playas Sotavento win50 %
Draw27 %
Los Llanos win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Los Llanos have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Playas Sotavento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2024Gévora(away)1-1Copa del Rey
Los Llanos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Panadería Pulido(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025Tamaraceite(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025Las Palmas II(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025Herbania(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025San Bartolomé(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 1; Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Playas Sotavento1.01.001/10/1
Los Llanos0.91.554/158/15

Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos?
The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Los Llanos.
Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos played?
Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Playas Sotavento and Los Llanos

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