Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Los Llanos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos?
Playas Sotavento starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Los Llanos have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | Gévora(away) | 1-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | Tamaraceite(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Las Palmas II(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Herbania(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 1; Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playas Sotavento | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| Los Llanos | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos?
- The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Los Llanos.
- Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos played?
- Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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