Where and when is San Miguel vs Los Llanos played?

San Miguel vs Los Llanos is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Miguel vs Los Llanos: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

San Miguel

Los Llanos

The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Los Llanos. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Miguel vs Los Llanos?

San Miguel starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,638).

San Miguel win53 %

Draw27 %

Los Llanos win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Los Llanos have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Miguel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Palmas III(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Telde(away)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Marino(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026	Mensajero(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Los Llanos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025	Tamaraceite(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025	Las Palmas II(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025	Herbania(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025	San Bartolomé(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

San Miguel score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Miguel	1.2	1.1	4	6/15	7/15
Los Llanos	0.9	1.5	5	4/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	San Miguel	34	10	9	15	37	43	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Los Llanos?: The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Los Llanos.
Where and when is San Miguel vs Los Llanos played?: San Miguel vs Los Llanos is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.