Where and when is Estrella vs Las Palmas III played?

Estrella vs Las Palmas III is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estrella vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria

Estrella

Las Palmas III

The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estrella vs Las Palmas III?

Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,598).

Estrella win31 %

Draw27 %

Las Palmas III win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Las Palmas III have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estrella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Herbania(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025	San Bartolomé(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025	Santa Úrsula(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025	Buzanada(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025	Marino(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Las Palmas III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	San Miguel(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Atlético Paso(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tenisca(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Estrella score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estrella	0.9	1.0	5	7/15	4/15
Las Palmas III	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Las Palmas III	34	15	9	10	58	42	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estrella vs Las Palmas III?: The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Estrella.
Where and when is Estrella vs Las Palmas III played?: Estrella vs Las Palmas III is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.