Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,746) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Evesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Plymouth Parkway win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Evesham United 1-1 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 5, 2022 | Plymouth Parkway 2-0 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Evesham United 3-1 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway?
- The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Plymouth Parkway.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway played?
- Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Havant & WvillevsGloucester City
- Aug 29, 2026Taunton TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Aug 29, 2026Bracknell TownvsSholing
- Aug 29, 2026Chertsey TownvsFrome Town
- Aug 29, 2026Hanwell TownvsChichester City
- Aug 29, 2026Gosport BoroughvsMalvern Town
- Aug 29, 2026Poole TownvsYate Town
- Aug 29, 2026Wimborne TownvsHanworth Villa