Match

Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire

Evesham UnitedPlymouth Parkway

The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,746) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).

Evesham United win39 %
Draw24 %
Plymouth Parkway win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Evesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanworth Villa(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chichester City(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Frome Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Plymouth Parkway
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chippenham Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bath City(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Bracknell Town(home)7-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 11, 2026Plymouth(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Evesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Plymouth Parkway win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Evesham United 1-1 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 1, 2025Plymouth Parkway 1-0 Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South
Apr 5, 2022Plymouth Parkway 2-0 Evesham UnitedNon League Div One - Southern South
Oct 23, 2021Evesham United 3-1 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Div One - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Evesham United1.31.748/1510/15
Plymouth Parkway2.51.5410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Plymouth Parkway42111257
12Evesham United42028106

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway?
The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Plymouth Parkway.
Where and when is Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway played?
Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Evesham United and Plymouth Parkway

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