Match

Yate Town vs Poole Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire

Yate TownPoole Town

The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Poole Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yate Town vs Poole Town?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,811) and Poole Town (1,856).

Yate Town win39 %
Draw26 %
Poole Town win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yate Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bracknell Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chippenham Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Leamington(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Yate Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Poole Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 24, 2026Yate Town 2-2 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Jan 17, 2026Poole Town 2-2 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 4, 2025Yate Town 1-2 Poole TownFA Trophy
Feb 11, 2023Yate Town 2-3 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Sep 24, 2022Poole Town 5-0 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Apr 2, 2022Poole Town 0-2 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Poole Town on Mar 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yate Town1.51.148/157/15
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Yate Town4220538
11Poole Town4202566

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Poole Town?
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Poole Town.
Where and when is Yate Town vs Poole Town played?
Yate Town vs Poole Town is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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