Yate Town vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poole Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Poole Town?
Poole Town starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,770).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Yate Town vs Poole Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Yate Town
Not enough data to predict the Yate Town lineup.
Poole Town
Not enough data to predict the Poole Town lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Poole Town have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Yate Town wins, 2 draws, 4 Poole Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Poole Town 2-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Yate Town 2-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Poole Town 2-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Yate Town 1-2 Poole Town | FA Trophy |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Yate Town 2-3 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Poole Town 5-0 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Yate Town on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern South (12 points from 11 matches) and Poole Town sit 1st (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 27 |
| 16 | Yate Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Yate Town vs Poole Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Poole Town played?
- Yate Town vs Poole Town is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027BerkhamstedvsChippenham Town
- Apr 3, 2027Frome TownvsChertsey Town
- Apr 3, 2027UxbridgevsBath City
- Apr 3, 2027Basingstoke TownvsTaunton Town
- Apr 3, 2027Chichester CityvsHanwell Town
- Apr 3, 2027SholingvsBracknell Town
- Apr 3, 2027Gloucester CityvsHavant & Wville
- Apr 3, 2027Hanworth VillavsWimborne Town