Yate Town vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Poole Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Poole Town?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,811) and Poole Town (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Yate Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Poole Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Yate Town 2-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Poole Town 2-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Yate Town 1-2 Poole Town | FA Trophy |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Yate Town 2-3 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Poole Town 5-0 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Poole Town 0-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Poole Town on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Poole Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Poole Town played?
- Yate Town vs Poole Town is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027BerkhamstedvsChippenham Town
- Apr 3, 2027Frome TownvsChertsey Town
- Apr 3, 2027UxbridgevsBath City
- Apr 3, 2027Basingstoke TownvsTaunton Town
- Apr 3, 2027Chichester CityvsHanwell Town
- Apr 3, 2027SholingvsBracknell Town
- Apr 3, 2027Gloucester CityvsHavant & Wville
- Apr 3, 2027Hanworth VillavsWimborne Town