Berkhamsted vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Plymouth Parkway?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,851) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Berkhamsted win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Plymouth Parkway win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway 2-0 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Berkhamsted 2-2 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Plymouth Parkway?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Plymouth Parkway.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Plymouth Parkway played?
- Berkhamsted vs Plymouth Parkway is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Havant & WvillevsChertsey Town
- Apr 10, 2027Taunton TownvsChichester City
- Apr 10, 2027Frome TownvsUxbridge
- Apr 10, 2027Hanwell TownvsChippenham Town
- Apr 10, 2027Gosport BoroughvsGloucester City
- Apr 10, 2027Poole TownvsMalvern Town
- Apr 10, 2027Wimborne TownvsEvesham United
- Apr 10, 2027Yate TownvsBasingstoke Town