Plymouth vs Carlisle: result 2-0 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 4, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
Full time
What was the result of Plymouth vs Carlisle?
Plymouth won 2-0 on March 4, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 21′G. CareyPlymouth
- 45′J. JervisPlymouth (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Carlisle have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | Notts County(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Luton(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Feb 14, 2017 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Exeter City(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Feb 14, 2017 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Blackpool(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Plymouth win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2016 | Carlisle 1-0 Plymouth | League Two |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Carlisle 0-2 Plymouth | League Two |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Plymouth 0-2 Carlisle | FA Cup |
| Aug 18, 2015 | Plymouth 4-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Apr 18, 2015 | Carlisle 2-0 Plymouth | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Plymouth 1-0 Carlisle | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy